optimistic scenario
Los Angeles, 2043: An optimistic scenario for transportation
It is a sparkling, sunny August morning in 2043, as your Air China flight from Beijing touches down gracefully (and almost silently) at LAX. The sleek plane is one of a new generation of hydrogen-powered wide-body jets manufactured by Commercial Aircraft Corp. of China -- the kind of innovation that helped the state-owned company sail past Boeing and Airbus in the 2030s to become the world's largest aerospace group. Starting with the Inflation Reduction Act in 2022, the last two decades have seen massive efforts to clean up transportation all around the United States and throughout the world. Back in the early 2020s, transportation accounted for 29% of America's greenhouse gas emissions, but that number has been steadily dwindling to almost zero -- resulting in cleaner cities everywhere. Not only have electric and hydrogen-powered vehicles replaced gas-guzzling cars, but many people have forsaken car-ownership altogether, in favor of much more economic and widely available solutions like e-bikes, robo-taxis and public transit.
- North America > United States > California > Los Angeles County > Los Angeles (0.43)
- Asia > China > Beijing > Beijing (0.25)
- Pacific Ocean > North Pacific Ocean > San Francisco Bay (0.05)
- (2 more...)
- Energy > Renewable > Hydrogen (1.00)
- Aerospace & Defense (1.00)
- Transportation > Ground > Road (0.97)
The future of work
The world is experiencing an unprecedented rate of technologically-driven disruption - adding weight to the proposition that humanity will see more change in the next 20 to 25 years than the last 200. Although a critical driver, it is important to realise that exponential science and technology developments (e.g. While technological change is a constant factor across all these drivers, let's home in on how exponential technology development could impact the future of business and work. There have been several studies into the possible impact of automation - mostly through AI and robotics - on jobs and employment. There are a range of perspectives, but looking across the studies, the broad consensus is that something significant will happen – and arguably is already happening - to the jobs market.
- North America > United States (0.05)
- Asia > Japan (0.05)
- Asia > China (0.05)
- (3 more...)